Welcome to Brian Ripley's
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Here are the most recent updates:
- JAN 16 Employment Profiles Male-Female Part Time Full Time since 1976
- JAN 13 Housing Starts City and Provincial with Census Overlay
- JAN 12 Employment Rates Vancouver Calgary Toronto Montreal and their Provinces
- JAN 10 Plunge-O-Meter REVAMP - Is Calgary a Buy?
- JAN 10 Debt+GDP+FDI+NetTrade Net Trade negative 88% of time since Jan 2012
- JAN 9 Sales & Listings & MAR & MOI Sales Since Peak Van=-79% Tor=-70%
- JAN 8 Canada 6-City Housing DANGER Slippery Sentiment
- JAN 8 "Real" Gold and "Real" Real Estate - trend change is on
- JAN 7 Real Housing Price of Vancouver+Toronto+Calgary
- JAN 7 Priced in USD SF Detached of Vancouver, Toronto and Calgary
- JAN 6 Millionaire Metric in Vancouver, Toronto and Calgary
- JAN 6 Price Momentum Negative in Vancouver Toronto Calgary & TSX real estate
- JAN 5 Vancouver vs Toronto Total Months of Inventory VAN = 9.6 TOR = 3.2
- JAN 4 Toronto SF detached prices down 22% from peak - buyer disinterest
- JAN 4 Vancouver - Moonbeams Rainbows Unicorns & a line in the quicksand
- JAN 3 TSX Indexes of housing vs financials and commodity DEFLATION
- JAN 3 Calgary Housing - Res-Sales down 76% from MAY 2013 high
- JAN 3 Earnings in Alberta are 22% above Quebec (no typo)
- JAN 2 Real Long Rates and the Interest Rate Spread
- JAN 2 Real 10yr Rate back to positive as CPI crashes with the energy dump
- JAN 1 Canadian Yield Curve Inversion on the 10-2yr is now only 7 bps away
- DEC 31 History & Readings OIL at <23 $US per Barrel = Deflation Symptom
- NOV 30 History & Readings - World Trade Recession Warning
- NOV 26 History & Readings - Dirty Real Estate - The Vancouver Model
- OCT 29 History & Readings - The Future depends on Cash Flow
- SEP 25 History & Readings - Credit Purge & Dumb Canadians
- AUG 24 History & Readings - Memes and Motivation
- JUL 26 History & Readings - Private Debt - Hello China
- JUN 22 History & Readings - Inflation Deflation Conflation
- JUN 4 Affordability - Weak hands face a new stress test rate of 5.34%
- MAY 29 History & Readings - Debt Replaces Employment
- APR 30 History & Readings - Sell Signals and Market Timing
- MAR 31 History & Readings - Melt Up - Toronto Edition
- FEB 28 History & Readings - Boom or Bust - Interest Rate Edition
- FEB 16 14th Annual Demographia Ranking of 46 Canadian Metros 3Q 2017
- JAN 30 History & Readings - Interest Rate Inversion Report
SPOILER ALERT History confirms that when credit managers recoil from risk, when consumers shun debt, when irrational exuberance is replaced by an analysis of cash flow; prices that went up well above fundamental measures will return to comparitive yields. See California, Florida, Japan, Dubai, Greece, Ireland, Spain, Nortel, Bre-X, Tulips, Pet Rocks, etal.
SPOILER ALERT History confirms that when credit managers recoil from risk, when consumers shun debt, when irrational exuberance is replaced by an analysis of cash flow; prices that went up well above fundamental measures will return to comparitive yields. See California, Florida, Japan, Dubai, Greece, Ireland, Spain, Nortel, Bre-X, Tulips, Pet Rocks, etal.
#OPENDATA - THIS CITIZEN'S DREAM: It would help if Government Agencies especially all land registry offices had open to the public online databases updated in real time as transactions occur so that the private sector could produce unbiased market analysis. The same goes for the Canadian Census and in my opinion, the private sector that collects but does not publish vast amounts of data that affects the social contract. If we want a society able to make better decisions we need better open data. Write your Member of Parliament.
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