"History, real solemn history, I cannot be interested in.... I read it a little as a duty; but it tells me nothing that does not either vex or weary me. The quarrels of popes and kings, with wars and pestilences in every page; the men all so good for nothing, and hardly any women at all - it is very tiresome." Jane Austen spoken by Catherine Morland in 'Northanger Abbey'
After the 1.30 minute mark in the interview, Mr Cashin remarked that a conventional 1st mortgage rate in the private market would be set at 6%.
RateHub quotes fixed 5 year term rates at 2.12 to 2.19% in Toronto and 10 year fixed rates at 3.59 to 4.69%.
If we had a primary banking industry that had to actually do their job of assessing risk and lend money out at market rates, the interest charged to offset that risk would probably be twice today's government "too big to fail" ZIRP and NIRP model.
Canadians are being kept in a subsidized credit market bubble apparently immune from the shadows of reality of the risk of over leverage. It's all good of course if the borrowers with weak hands can hang on to their cash flow and service their debt.
I suggest that if one is still willing to leverage up to buy real estate at this time in Canada, one should match their mortgage amortization with their employment contract amortization. I doubt if many employers have a 25 year horizon when looking at the labour pool.
More Charts and text from the October 21, 2016 Macleans Magazine article:
Canada’s Housing Bubble Makes America’s Look Tiny
History, Charts & Curated Readings
"Progress, far from consisting in change, depends on retentiveness. When change is absolute there remains no being to improve and no direction is set for possible improvement; and when experience is not retained, as among savages, infancy is perpetual. Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." George Santayana Vol. I, Reason in Common Sense